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there's also rasmussen poll that has romney three hey, 47-44. >> a lot of these polls where you see the president with, like, a five- or six-point lead, you go into the internals and you see they've been over-sampling democrats by, like, nine, or even, 10 or even 13 points. >> actually, greg, there was a brand new national bloomberg poll released today showing governor romney leading president obama on the issue of terrorism by six point. >> jon: how the hell are these polls so divergent, useless, accurate, yet quotable? i think we all know what we need? nerds! >> when you see obamaing gaining in today's poll, that means obama's interviews yesterday were better than seven days ago conducted before the debate. he went from three ahead in the seven-day track yesterday to five ahead in the track today. the next round of swing state polls shows the swing states tied, then democrats really will-- it will be appropriate for them to panic. ( laughter ) ( applause ) >> jon: nobody understands these things but those guys. and they're not telling us anything. is there anything that can help us ge
there's also rasmussen poll that has romney three hey, 47-44. >> a lot of these polls where you see the president with, like, a five- or six-point lead, you go into the internals and you see they've been over-sampling democrats by, like, nine, or even, 10 or even 13 points. >> actually, greg, there was a brand new national bloomberg poll released today showing governor romney leading president obama on the issue of terrorism by six point. >> jon: how the hell are these polls...
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Oct 9, 2012
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in colorado, in one right-leaning poll romney is now up by 3 points. the same showed him losing by 5 before the debate. now he's up by 3. in virginia, the president is ahead by 3 in virginia. that same poll had the president's lead at 5 points before the debate. that shows the president's lead shrinking. in michigan, it's now barack obama by just 3 points. the president had led by 10 last month. now it's down to 3. in ohio today, a poll on the right gives the president an edge of 2 points. that poll in iowa shows a gain for mr. obama, a 5-point gain. in florida, the same poll shows a 4-point swing for romney. he's up by 2 points. so the major fall or minor lift, however, you rattle the number lose, as the overall national polling shifts and the swing state races shift with them, the state where the romney campaign is hoping for the biggest shift of all is in ohio. in modern political history, ohio has been the path to the presidency for republican candidates. if republican candidates win ohio, they win the white house. if mitt romney doesn't win ohio,
in colorado, in one right-leaning poll romney is now up by 3 points. the same showed him losing by 5 before the debate. now he's up by 3. in virginia, the president is ahead by 3 in virginia. that same poll had the president's lead at 5 points before the debate. that shows the president's lead shrinking. in michigan, it's now barack obama by just 3 points. the president had led by 10 last month. now it's down to 3. in ohio today, a poll on the right gives the president an edge of 2 points. that...
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Oct 10, 2012
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romney up by 4 points in the pew poll. in the swing states, mr. romney leading in colorado by 4. mr. obama leading in pennsylvania by 2, the right poll showing a tie in nevada. the president up in new hampshire by 6 points. and really the one poll we waited on all day, the one poll that might matter more than any other single piece of data, the one piece we got today, president obama holding on to a 4-point lead in ohio. let's poll this one out. this is a cnn number from this afternoon. barack obama with an edge of 4 points in ohio, which is just outside the margin of error. it's far less than the 9-point leads in the survey not long ago. i should say to democrats and obama supporters, i'm sorry if i unleashed those numbers on you with a mature content warning label. but my friend e.j. dionne will be with us later. he says, i was talking with an old friend who was one of the nonpartisan polling outfits. we were discussing the large shifts in some of the polls on the presidential election and the feedback he receives whenever he puts out new numbers that make one side or the other
romney up by 4 points in the pew poll. in the swing states, mr. romney leading in colorado by 4. mr. obama leading in pennsylvania by 2, the right poll showing a tie in nevada. the president up in new hampshire by 6 points. and really the one poll we waited on all day, the one poll that might matter more than any other single piece of data, the one piece we got today, president obama holding on to a 4-point lead in ohio. let's poll this one out. this is a cnn number from this afternoon. barack...
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Oct 9, 2012
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the poll in the free press and the pew poll not the only good news for the romney forces. they got a big boost as well in gallup's tracking poll which shows a 47-47 tie among likely voters contacted on the 4th through the 6th. in pre-debate polling, mr. obama, president obama, led by five. now, as for today's pew poll, the obama campaign takes issue with the party make-up of people surveyed, saying it tilts republican compared to september. the romney campaign, on the other hand, says it's pleased with the numbers. joining us now, jim acosta with the romney campaign in newport news, virginia and on the phone, dan lothian with president obama's campaign. jim, you're on the trail with the romney campaign. what's the reaction to the latest polling, because republicans were complaining about these polls as soon as last week. now the poll is good news for them. are they complaining? >> well, anderson, i have to tell you i just saw mitt romney standing out in a drenching rain in newport news just a couple hours ago and he still had a smile on his face. they're pretty happy. they
the poll in the free press and the pew poll not the only good news for the romney forces. they got a big boost as well in gallup's tracking poll which shows a 47-47 tie among likely voters contacted on the 4th through the 6th. in pre-debate polling, mr. obama, president obama, led by five. now, as for today's pew poll, the obama campaign takes issue with the party make-up of people surveyed, saying it tilts republican compared to september. the romney campaign, on the other hand, says it's...
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Oct 10, 2012
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the gallup poll, for instance, has romney doing five points better. other polls have that a little smaller. so it seems like obama would even today win an election if everyone registered to vote turned out or certainly all adults. but based on the republican enthusiasm advantage and some democrats, i think, feeling a little disupon dent after the president's performance in denver last week, that alone might be enough to push romney over the top. >> the special way that you sort of distill the candidate's chances at 538, your now cast factors in not just polling but also economic data and other measures that you think give you a percentage chance that one of the two candidates will win the election. what's the percentage chance you have for each of the candidates and has that changed less than the national polls changed? >> the percentage is a 70/30 advantage for obama. which, by the way, if you go to vegas or offshore versions of vegas, you can bet at about those odds. obama is a 70% favorite. but my site had obama as an 85% favorite before the debate
the gallup poll, for instance, has romney doing five points better. other polls have that a little smaller. so it seems like obama would even today win an election if everyone registered to vote turned out or certainly all adults. but based on the republican enthusiasm advantage and some democrats, i think, feeling a little disupon dent after the president's performance in denver last week, that alone might be enough to push romney over the top. >> the special way that you sort of distill...
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Oct 9, 2012
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let me ask you about the latest polls because the pew poll now shows mitt romney ahead for the first time. these things could bounce around a little bit but certainly shows he has gained some advantage after that debate. >> well, i thought there was an interesting column by a fellow named nate silver 538 in "the new york times" plot s out how the elections have gone in the past. almost always when an incumbent president in the debate and a challenger does well which almost always happens the challenger goes up for a while in the polls but then goes back down. he think it would have much effect on the election and i tend to agree with him. >> that is if the candidate, if the president of the united states, comes back with a different game plan. what do you think he needs to do in the next debate he didn't do in the first debate? >> well, the bottom line is, i think that he is a fighter. i think he will come to the conclusion that he let romney get away with a little too much trying to be very presidential, and i don't think you'll see the same thing in the next debate. >> let's talk a
let me ask you about the latest polls because the pew poll now shows mitt romney ahead for the first time. these things could bounce around a little bit but certainly shows he has gained some advantage after that debate. >> well, i thought there was an interesting column by a fellow named nate silver 538 in "the new york times" plot s out how the elections have gone in the past. almost always when an incumbent president in the debate and a challenger does well which almost...
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Oct 7, 2012
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reminds them of -- >> if you look at the day by day poll, and you look at the post debate numbers, each category, whether going from immigration to medicare, whatever, shows that obama has slipped in each category. iraq, which will not even mentioned, we see running moving up in favorability. >> all because of the debate? >> these races do tend to tighten at the end, unless it is a total landslide. let me finish, guys. i really do think, to the great plea to all of us, this will be a down to the wire race. wille very close. >> see you next week.
reminds them of -- >> if you look at the day by day poll, and you look at the post debate numbers, each category, whether going from immigration to medicare, whatever, shows that obama has slipped in each category. iraq, which will not even mentioned, we see running moving up in favorability. >> all because of the debate? >> these races do tend to tighten at the end, unless it is a total landslide. let me finish, guys. i really do think, to the great plea to all of us, this...
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. >> over a windfall of new polling. >> we're seeing polls all over the place. >> mitt romney got a debate bounce. >> we cannot turn back now. >> the narrative about who's up, who's down in this race for the white house. >> it's a race that is anything but settled. >> there will be plenty of ups and downs over the next 28 days. >> just 28 days until election. >> are you in? are you ready for this? 28 days. are you with me? >>> tonight with 28 days until the presidential election, the head of the evolution-denying party got this question about evolution. >> that 47% comment that you made that's caused you a lot of grieve as you know. there's been a change in wrur position. you were initially saying when that tape came out that you weren't exactly elegantly stating your position. later and more recently you said you were completely wrong. i'm curious, governor, how did that evolution in your thinking go on from the initial reaction once that tape came out to what you said the other day that you were completely wrong? >> well, what i'm saying is that -- the words that came out were not what i
. >> over a windfall of new polling. >> we're seeing polls all over the place. >> mitt romney got a debate bounce. >> we cannot turn back now. >> the narrative about who's up, who's down in this race for the white house. >> it's a race that is anything but settled. >> there will be plenty of ups and downs over the next 28 days. >> just 28 days until election. >> are you in? are you ready for this? 28 days. are you with me? >>>...
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Oct 15, 2012
10/12
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i was impressed that the first romney debate caused a major swing in the polls. >> that is a great question. i have a fairly different opinions than most of my colleagues in this town. i do think that it is somewhat locked in.you ask people who they will vote for. that is a complicated question. you are on the phone answering somebody's question. some people want to please people and others want to not these people. there are varying degrees of people actually dialing in and paying attention. my own feeling is that is a very difficult time for any incumbent with unemployment reaching 10% and all the troubles any incumbent would have defending best. president obama is going into a very tough headwind. people dial in at a later and later date. a poll will tell you it is neck and neck. pollsters make money if things are neck and neck. people like me stay employed. a lot of those people happen to dial in at that moment. when they do that, they make up their mind. larget think there is a group of super intelligent independent voters that are paying attention to what is going on and saying, i sti
i was impressed that the first romney debate caused a major swing in the polls. >> that is a great question. i have a fairly different opinions than most of my colleagues in this town. i do think that it is somewhat locked in.you ask people who they will vote for. that is a complicated question. you are on the phone answering somebody's question. some people want to please people and others want to not these people. there are varying degrees of people actually dialing in and paying...
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Oct 12, 2012
10/12
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florida is going toward romney. and you're looking at states like michigan, pennsylvania, new hampshire, very much in play. this race is extremely tight. and that debate last night did not help democrats at all because guess what, joe biden did not explain why the ticket deserves to have four more years. he did attack the romney/ryan ticket, but wasn't really able to take any credit for any achievements because there haven't been any. on the libyan situation, he was really embarrassing because he contradicted not just the department of state, but he really threw the intelligence community under the bus using them as a defense for what has been a coverup of a terrorist attack on 9/11. >> julian, do you want to get in here? >> yeah, let me respond. first of all, i think that the polls have moved a little bit in places like florida, not substantially enough in ohio, pennsylvania, michigan. secondly, i think -- >> in ohio, it's one point difference. >> excuse me, bor. why obama ought to get four years. when obama came i
florida is going toward romney. and you're looking at states like michigan, pennsylvania, new hampshire, very much in play. this race is extremely tight. and that debate last night did not help democrats at all because guess what, joe biden did not explain why the ticket deserves to have four more years. he did attack the romney/ryan ticket, but wasn't really able to take any credit for any achievements because there haven't been any. on the libyan situation, he was really embarrassing because...
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Oct 11, 2012
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cnn poll has it at four. clearly, still a lot of work for romney. let's keep going. virginia, we saw polls before the first presidential debate starting to stretch outside the margin. back to a dead heat. that's nbc news "wall street journal" mars poll and down to florida and here's another one. it started to open up a handful. there is no question, no question, the race changed after the the first presidential debate. romney got a bounce. but when you get a bounce, the challenge is to sustain it. that's the big challenge. can paul ryan keep the republican momentum? >> so, it's narrowed in these battleground state, but is there any indication that first debate created new battleground states? >> some evidence. i'm a bit skeptical. but one state where the numbers changed, mitt romney's birth state of michigan. his dad was governor there. our cnn poll had it close to ten points. looked like no way the republicans could put that into play. three points. so that's within the margin of error. that sheds michigan back into play. do the democrats now think we have to spend
cnn poll has it at four. clearly, still a lot of work for romney. let's keep going. virginia, we saw polls before the first presidential debate starting to stretch outside the margin. back to a dead heat. that's nbc news "wall street journal" mars poll and down to florida and here's another one. it started to open up a handful. there is no question, no question, the race changed after the the first presidential debate. romney got a bounce. but when you get a bounce, the challenge is...
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Oct 9, 2012
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the pew poll governor romney was seen as guy with new ideas. he was the one people trust to create jobs. bill: one of the lingering numbers in the debate governor romney's honesty to cut federal spending. >> taking on big bird. bill: how is the obama team, responding that, going after it? >> governor romney was trying to make a point cutting unnecessary spending said. i like pbs i like big bird. i even like you, jim lehrer, but i don't think you need the subsidy. obama campaign, seized on that. the president used that as a rip line to ridicule governor romney across the country. this morning they have a new ad about it. >> bernie madoff, ken lay, dennis kozlowski, i will criminals gluttons of greed and evil genius towered over them. one man has the guts to speak his name. >> big bird. big bird, big bird. >> me, big bird. >> a menace to our economy. mitt romney knows it is not wall street you have to worry about. it is "sesame street". >> reporter: that ad was out about couple hours, bringing out "sesame street"'s couldn't saying look at preside
the pew poll governor romney was seen as guy with new ideas. he was the one people trust to create jobs. bill: one of the lingering numbers in the debate governor romney's honesty to cut federal spending. >> taking on big bird. bill: how is the obama team, responding that, going after it? >> governor romney was trying to make a point cutting unnecessary spending said. i like pbs i like big bird. i even like you, jim lehrer, but i don't think you need the subsidy. obama campaign,...
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we'll take you there live as polls in ohio seem to turn in mr. romney's favor. the drip, drip of near daily revelations about the murders of four americans in benghazi continues. during the noon hour eastern time a gop-led committee on capitol hill will grill government officials on diplomatic security in libya. what did we know? we'll have it for you live. white house press secretary jay carney, what is he up to today? he's holding his first press conference in two weeks. will he make news? we'll have it for you. bill: you have a busy day. jon: yes we do. bill: paying for a good idea. there is a state dishing out money to employees who have ideas to save taxpayers some cash jo a big explosion forcing hazmat teams to the scene. look at that. where all that went down, as bill and i come right back. [ male announcer ] when these come together, and these come together, one thing you can depend on is that these will come together. delicious and wholesome. some combinations were just meant to be. tomato soup from campbell's. it's amazing what soup can do. or annuity
we'll take you there live as polls in ohio seem to turn in mr. romney's favor. the drip, drip of near daily revelations about the murders of four americans in benghazi continues. during the noon hour eastern time a gop-led committee on capitol hill will grill government officials on diplomatic security in libya. what did we know? we'll have it for you live. white house press secretary jay carney, what is he up to today? he's holding his first press conference in two weeks. will he make news?...
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Oct 8, 2012
10/12
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polls show there is an opening for him there. obama leads by about five points when it comes to the trust would comes to international affairs. clearly, the romney campaign knows there is an area for him to make some headway there. there is always the risk that by focusing -- it's a couple of days before the vice presidential debate, there still maintaining the economy is the top issue, he runs the risk of focusing on too many areas rather than keeping that single- minded focus on jobs and economic issues. >> you talked about the vice- presidential debate coming up. there is also a foreign policy debate coming up on october 22. is this a preview for that debate and does that open the play book for the obama camp to see what mayor romney is going to talk about at that foreign policy debate? >> -- what mitt romney is going to talk about. >> i think we have heard many of these arguments before, after , governorattacke romney came out and made these points pretty forcefully. from what we have seen, today's speech is going to be a may
polls show there is an opening for him there. obama leads by about five points when it comes to the trust would comes to international affairs. clearly, the romney campaign knows there is an area for him to make some headway there. there is always the risk that by focusing -- it's a couple of days before the vice presidential debate, there still maintaining the economy is the top issue, he runs the risk of focusing on too many areas rather than keeping that single- minded focus on jobs and...
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Oct 10, 2012
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we saw the pugh poll that shows romney up a great bit. now the real news begins, the state by state by state polls. >> four weeks away. can you believe it. >> we have a few to report on this morning. >> the election is coming. the fight for battleground states, less than four weeks until election day in ohio where there are 18 electoral votes up for grabs. a new cnn poll conducted after the debate shows the president leading by four points, 51-47. romney has gained four points there in just over a week. in new hampshire a new wmur granite state poll showses in last nine day he's whittled the 15-point lead down to 6 points. national polls has romney edging ahead of barack obama for the first time this year. the question is, is this what happens naturally, or was this spurred by the debate? >> it doesn't happen naturally. it happens after an earthquake. >> really? >> there was a political earthquake last week, the likes of which i've never seen in american politics, where a shift happened that dramatically in one night. donny, you've seen t
we saw the pugh poll that shows romney up a great bit. now the real news begins, the state by state by state polls. >> four weeks away. can you believe it. >> we have a few to report on this morning. >> the election is coming. the fight for battleground states, less than four weeks until election day in ohio where there are 18 electoral votes up for grabs. a new cnn poll conducted after the debate shows the president leading by four points, 51-47. romney has gained four points...
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Oct 13, 2012
10/12
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poll after poll shows momentum building behind the romney/ryan tukt and there's pressure on the president now t wrap up his game for the three-week sprint to election day. let's bring in our correspondent, we're getting reaction to the vice presidential debate, more comments coming in. but the president has his mission cut out for him right now. dan? >> he really does. we just have to look back to right after the debate where the president turned up his volume, strongly aggressively going after his gop opponents. but what we saw this week at the university of miami on thursday at a big rally there was the president even turning up the volume a bit more. attacking mitt romney for what the president says was his changing position on a whole host of issues, including taxes. take a listen. >> he's trying to go through an extreme makeover. after running for more than a year in which he called himself severely conservative, mitt romney is trying to convince you that he was severely kidding. >> i was talking to a senior campaign official about the tone of the president's rally and this official
poll after poll shows momentum building behind the romney/ryan tukt and there's pressure on the president now t wrap up his game for the three-week sprint to election day. let's bring in our correspondent, we're getting reaction to the vice presidential debate, more comments coming in. but the president has his mission cut out for him right now. dan? >> he really does. we just have to look back to right after the debate where the president turned up his volume, strongly aggressively going...
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Oct 10, 2012
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and the pew poll that came out earlier this week, wolf, said six in ten voters believe that romney is promising more than he can deliver. one reason bill clinton's speech was so popular at the democratic convention was he said the arithmetic doesn't add up. so you can push is this just rhetoric during a campaign, or is this real? if you want to close tax loopholes, okay, fine. what loopholes would you close? he's got to answer that. and so far hasn't done it. >> his argument is i don't want to put all that out right now. because if he's president, he's going to have to negotiate all those issues with democrats. and why put your own position out right now. >> sure. >> i don't know if his argument's going to necessarily hold. that's another matter. a lot of folks have seen romney over these past couple weeks at the debate, in the interview with me, moving more towards the center. do you see that? >> i did. i saw that particularly in your interview when he talked about the wealthy and how his tax plan would affect the wealthy. because of course the obama team is saying, you know, mitt ro
and the pew poll that came out earlier this week, wolf, said six in ten voters believe that romney is promising more than he can deliver. one reason bill clinton's speech was so popular at the democratic convention was he said the arithmetic doesn't add up. so you can push is this just rhetoric during a campaign, or is this real? if you want to close tax loopholes, okay, fine. what loopholes would you close? he's got to answer that. and so far hasn't done it. >> his argument is i don't...
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Oct 11, 2012
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given a sort of resonance reveals to the american public how can romney or obama persuade the u.s. public that they need to support a position of leadership? why do they tell us about how americans are struggling with a balance between leadership, intervention, nonintervention as they continue to see the priorities here at home? >> that's exactly the right question because i think that struggling with ambivalence is the heart of the matter. >> i'm going to offer for broad generalizations about the state of american public opinion on the questions in general, and then i will end where should we ended it with some brief comments on the syrian issue. first, just what the make a technical pulling no -- polling note and this is a survey of adults. it's not of registered voters let alone likely voters. so, there are some -- there are some differences as to propose the increasingly demanding screens on adults, and these results will probably pick up more young people, more people who are more weekly connected to the political system, and in this election year i think that difference betwe
given a sort of resonance reveals to the american public how can romney or obama persuade the u.s. public that they need to support a position of leadership? why do they tell us about how americans are struggling with a balance between leadership, intervention, nonintervention as they continue to see the priorities here at home? >> that's exactly the right question because i think that struggling with ambivalence is the heart of the matter. >> i'm going to offer for broad...
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Oct 10, 2012
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together, and 73% of the people in the battleground poll -- well, this was the gallop poll this morning, 73% of the people who watched the debate thought that mitt romney won. [applause] how about this? how about 63% of the democrats who watched the debate thought that romney won. [applause] listen, i'm just a regular guy with a big job. a lot of you don't know, but i have 11 brothers and sisters, and my dad owned a bar, all right? i'm the last guy in the world who wanted to be a member of the congress, much less a speaker, but i, like all of you, grew up in america, a country where you can grow up and be anything you want to be and do anything you want to do. i was lucky enough to work through school, got into a small business and buy it and grow it into a successful business. along the way, i got involved in the neighborhood's homeowner's association and i ended up as speaker of the house. this, too, could happen to you. [laughter] i got involved because i thought time for people from the real world to take an active interest in the government. when i went there as a small business pe
together, and 73% of the people in the battleground poll -- well, this was the gallop poll this morning, 73% of the people who watched the debate thought that mitt romney won. [applause] how about this? how about 63% of the democrats who watched the debate thought that romney won. [applause] listen, i'm just a regular guy with a big job. a lot of you don't know, but i have 11 brothers and sisters, and my dad owned a bar, all right? i'm the last guy in the world who wanted to be a member of the...
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Oct 9, 2012
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WBAL
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last month the same poll showed romney trailing by eight points. still, a new gallup poll shows mr. obama five points ahead among registered voters, regaining ground after last week's encouraging jobs report. looking to beef up his foreign policy credentials ahead of the final stretch, romney accused the president of weak leadership in the middle east. failing to capitalize on the arab spring uprisings and delivering the harshest response yet on the administration's response to the deadly attacks in libya. >> it is our responsibility and the responsibility of the president to use america's greatest power to shape history, not to lead from behind, leaving our destiny at the mercy of events. >> reporter: calling for a change of course, romney offered few new policy details, citing syria's civil war, romney saying he would support our allies arming rebels there. former secretary of state madeleine albright gave the obama campaign's rebuttal. >> i'm a professor. if one of my students turned it in they'd get a "c" because he gave absolutely no specifics. >> it's getting close here in mic
last month the same poll showed romney trailing by eight points. still, a new gallup poll shows mr. obama five points ahead among registered voters, regaining ground after last week's encouraging jobs report. looking to beef up his foreign policy credentials ahead of the final stretch, romney accused the president of weak leadership in the middle east. failing to capitalize on the arab spring uprisings and delivering the harshest response yet on the administration's response to the deadly...